Friday, March 29, 2013

Who Will Win What In Sarawak In GE-13 UPDATED

Who will win what in Sarawak in GE-13 Updated

The Sarawak BN is confident that it will have at least 25 in the bag out of 31 seats. At least that's what audacious Audie thinks. See his blog posting here.

Sarawak Headhunter thinks it will be the other way around and that 22 seats will go to PR and 9 to BN.

One thing for sure and that is that the Chinese community is highly likely to abandon SUPP completely this round. Not one SUPP parliamentary candidate may survive this time. 

7 SUPP seats

1. Kuching:- Will go to DAP. No change.

2. Stampin:- Will fall to DAP. No change.

3. Serian:- DAP/PKR. An upset here. Richard Riot will be defeated. 50:50

4. Sarikei:- DAP. No change.

5. Lanang:- DAP. Tiong will lose this time. No change.

6. Sibu:- DAP. Oscar Ling has a good chance to win. No change.

7. Miri:- PKR. No change.

SUPP will be almost totally wiped out.

SPDP also has a good chance of losing all its present seats.

4 SPDP seats

8. Mas Gading:- PKR/DAP. PKR Candidate Willy Tumek or DAP Mordi Bimol. 50:50 in a crowded field, edge still with Tiki Lafe standing as an Independent.

9. Saratok:- PKR. Ali Biju will win. No change. Mawan will lose narrowly.
10. Bintulu:- DAP. Tiong will lose inspite of throwing a lot of money on the ground. 50:50, edging towards DAP.

11. Baram:- PKR. Jacob Sagan has been totally discredited and will lose this time. No change even though BN has changed its candidate.

6 PRS seats

12. Sri Aman:- DAP. 50:50.

13. Lubok Antu:- PKR. Nicholas Bawin will win in a 3-cornered fight. No change.

14. Julau:- PRS. Joseph Salang will win even in a 3-cornered match. No change.

15. Kanowit:- PKR. Still 50:50.

16. Ulu Rejang:- PKR. Abun Siu to win in a 4-cornered fight. No change.

17. Selangau:- PKR. May possibly win in a 3-cornered fight as Entulu & Sng knock each other out. 50:50.

14 PBB seats

18. Igan :- PBB. No change.

19. Sibuti:- PAS. Robby Tandang will win. 50:50.

20. Samarahan:- PBB. No change.

21. Betong:- PKR. PKR may lose, now 40:60.

22. Petra Jaya:- PBB. No change.

23. Limbang:- PKR. Baru Bian has the edge here. No change.
24. Lawas:- PKR. Dr. Bob Baru should be able to scrape through. No change.

25. Mambong:- DAP. Mangan Ngandok. 50:50.

26. Mukah:- PBB, if Leo Toyad is not the candidate. Otherwise it is possible that DAP may make history here or a former strong PKR candidate may come back as an independent candidate to haunt him. No change, even though Leo Toyad is still the candidate.

27. Batang Sadong:- PBB. No change.

28. Tanjong Manis:- PBB. New candidate, as it is likely that Norah Tun Rahman will not be standing again. Norah Tun Rahman is still the candidate. No change.

29. Batang Lupar:- PKR/PAS. PBB's Rohani is hardworking but ineffective and without any real ideas how to help develop her constituency. 50:50.

30. Santubong:- PBB. No change.

31. Kapit:- PBB. No change, but possibility of upset. 50:50.

TOTAL FINAL SCORE: DAP - 9 (5), PKR - 12 (7), PBB - 8 (12), PAS - 1 (0), PRS - 1 (4), INDEPENDENT - 1, SWP - 0 (0), SPDP - 0 (1), SUPP - 0 (1).

Tuesday, March 5, 2013

Malayans Never Listen To Sabah Or Sarawak


When speaking of the recent Sabah intrusion incident, many people are trying to relate it only to the bigger picture of the Malaysian government's political issues.

But it is much deeper than that as it has crept into the fabric of the social lives of Sabahans.

I am here talking because I am a Sabahan, and my hometown is Sandakan, which is only few kilometres from where the incidents are taking place.

I am definitely very concerned over the lingering issue of never ending claim by some non-existent sultanate that has no legitimacy at all since the Suluks "lordship" was only valid around 200 years ago.

While the main decisions are being discussed and taking place miles away from across the ocean in the peninsular Malaysia, we the people of North Borneo are all living in a tense situation and in uncertainty on our own soil.

We are not given any right at all to voice our opinions over the matter. We are just like a colony without any power to decide our future, but to simply follow orders from across the ocean.

What we strongly disagree is for other people to change our historical and cultural background.

Yes, historically a small part of North Borneo belonged to the sultan of Sulu, but they have never done anything much to North Borneo in term of developing it.

The sultanate existed around 200 years ago, and it has long been forgotten and no longer recognised anywhere in the world.

They do not have any existing kingdom thus by the international law, any claim from them is no longer valid.

Now North Borneo is an independent state, and it is part of Malaysia since the last 50 years.

Malaysia by law has to protect the welfare of the state and the people of North Borneo.

And what we want is for Malaysia to once and for all to stop all these illegal claims and intrusions from the non-existent sultanate or any pirates that come to our shore to disturb the peace of our state.

We do not want any more fruitless negotiations which have been going on for years and years since the formation of the Federation of Malaysia.

We are very disappointed with the marines for failing to protect the shore of our state. All those "pirates" should have been stopped at sea, disarmed and sent back to where they belong but instead they were given all kinds of leniency on our soil.

This is not a new issue at all as there has been many illegal entries from those living in the islands of Sulu.

Unfortunately, without the consent of the people of North Borneo, those illegal immigrants have been legitimised by the government of Malaysia.

The social fabric of North Borneo has now been much distorted creating the racial and religious imbalance in our state which are all to the advantage of the federal government.

We, the native people, once the majority group on our own soil have been turned into a minority group due to this legitimisation over the years.

Another complication that arises through this legitimisation is the grabbing of the "special privileges" of the native people.

Understand that all these Suluk immigrants are Muslims, and they are automatically entitled to the special privileges which all Muslims in Malaysia are entitled to.

Our poor native people of Sabah, who are not Muslims, have now become the second class citizens on our own soil.

In other words, those legitimised immigrants with their special advantage of being Muslims, have grabbed every opportunity entitled to the native people of Sabah.

Many have received all kinds of help from the government of Malaysia which has left a smaller piece of pie to the native-born.

In conclusion, had the federal government had the best interest of Sabahans in mind, those pirates would not have an easy access into our soil.

Now the Suluks are having a strong footing on our soil due to the leniency of the federal government during the past 30 years.

The so called '100 gunmen' can easily increase to 1,000 and even 2,000 gunmen because the Suluks have spread themselves into every corner of our state over these long years.

Historically, the Mahathir Mohamad government should be blamed for all the mismanagement of the state of Sabah.

He actively involved himself in the affair of the Palestinians, but failed to settle a similar basic problem of his own subjects.

Mahathir never tried to solved the long-standing problem of this Sabah claim issue, but instead had escalated it to our suffocation. Mahathir is the main devil here, all due to his hunger for power as premier for 22 long years.